delta · wave 3 · partner evaluation
agδ

delta

Drawdown-first market decomposition — risk management, not alpha.

Delta is risk management, not alpha. It puts drawdown control first: an integer-deterministic decomposition with a pre-entry kill-switch that rejects trades before execution. On high-volatility assets it holds portfolio drawdown to a few percent where buy-and-hold takes tens — and it openly underperforms broad-market returns.

evidence ledger

measured facts, not exposed machinery.

Out-of-sample backtests across bull / bear / covid regimes (mass-backtest synthesis, 2026-05-08). Hero 3.2% / 33.9% is full-window scope P; regime rows 1.4–2.8% are labelled separately. The drawdown edge is the claim; the return shortfall is stated, not hidden.

All Delta figures are from backtested, out-of-sample simulation — not a live trading track record. Simulated results have inherent limitations and do not reflect actual trading, liquidity, or execution. Past or hypothetical performance is not indicative of future results. Nothing here is investment advice or an offer or solicitation to invest.

max drawdown
1.4–3.2% · vs 16–34% B&H
corpus scope
106 equities · 2020–2025 OOS · synthesis 2026-05-08
regime band
bull 1.4% · bear 2.5% · covid 2.8% · full window 3.2%
OOS return · bull
delta +2.3% vs B&H +72.1% · risk overlay, not alpha
OOS Sharpe
≈0.84 BTC · ≈1.14 ETH · window-scoped crypto
pre-entry gate
κ kill-switch · rejects before execution
determinism
integer-deterministic · x86-64 ↔ ARM bit-identical
γ crystal gate
5★ PASS · grade Ap · 91.3% health · validation_gate OK
reproduce
request evaluation via /access/ · scoped pilot · commercial terms after
public layer

Drawdown-first.

On high-volatility assets — crypto, volatile equities — Delta holds portfolio drawdown to 1.4–3.2% where buy-and-hold takes 16–34%. The pipeline is integer-deterministic: identical input gives a bit-identical regime fingerprint on x86-64 and ARM.

stated openly

Not a broad-market alpha engine.

Delta underperforms buy-and-hold on returns and Sharpe in every out-of-sample regime. It is built for drawdown protection on volatile assets — avoid mature large-cap defensives and anything under ~15% annualised volatility. The decomposition mechanics stay sealed.

boundaries

what it is — and what it is not.

Full-window 3.2% max DD vs B&H 33.9% is regime-scoped simulation evidence only.

repository documents

standards & licenses.

Normative files, specs, and conformance guarantees from the official repository.

README.md
delta · V7 PILOT
agδ
delta

Drawdown-first market decomposition. Risk management, not alpha.

  • Max drawdown 1.4–3.2% vs 16–34% buy-and-hold
  • Underperforms B&H by design to limit tail-risk
  • Pre-entry kill-switch rejects before execution
V7 PILOT · DECOMP
BENCHMARKS.md
delta · performance

Full-window max drawdown — scope P (106 equities, 2020–2025 OOS). Do not mix with regime-band rows.

delta max DD · full window 3.2%
B&H max DD · full window 33.9%
LICENSE
RESTRICTED
PROPRIETARY

Proprietary commercial license. Use, copying, or reverse engineering of the sealed engine core is strictly prohibited. Evaluators must sign the bilateral NDA.

PROPRIETARY